Search:
Saturday, May-23 2015 06:40 WIB
  • AGRI 2,278.890 2.980 (0.131%)
  • BASIC-IND 466.690 -2.920 (-0.622%)
  • BISNIS-27 458.630 -1.760 (-0.382%)
  • COMPOSITE 5,315.150 1.940 (0.037%)
  • CONSUMER 2,342.000 23.770 (1.025%)
  • DBX 705.760 4.850 (0.692%)
  • FINANCE 784.050 -1.730 (-0.220%)
  • IDX30 479.390 -0.210 (-0.044%)
  • INFOBANK15 607.320 -1.340 (-0.220%)
  • INFRASTRUC 1,053.380 3.940 (0.375%)
  • Investor33 379.420 -1.200 (-0.315%)
  • ISSI 169.960 0.090 (0.053%)
  • JII 711.770 -0.510 (-0.072%)
  • KOMPAS100 1,167.180 -0.980 (-0.084%)
  • LQ45 926.600 -0.790 (-0.085%)
  • MANUFACTUR 1,335.950 -4.120 (-0.307%)
  • MBX 1,539.740 -0.750 (-0.049%)
  • MINING 1,257.690 -8.100 (-0.640%)
  • MISC-IND 1,310.940 -36.040 (-2.676%)
  • MNC36 290.830 0.400 (0.138%)
  • PEFINDO25 467.300 0.150 (0.032%)
  • PROPERTY 556.490 2.550 (0.460%)
  • SMinfra18 345.340 0.630 (0.183%)
  • SRI-KEHATI 314.060 0.200 (0.064%)
  • TOTAL_MARKET 5,315.150 1.940 (0.037%)
  • TRADE 965.340 8.750 (0.915%)
  • © 2010 IMQ - LKBN ANTARA
  • AALI 26,100 150 (0.58%)
  • ABBA 50 0 (0.00%)
  • ACES 685 0 (0.00%)
  • ACST 4,800 -60 (-1.23%)
  • ADES 1,375 0 (0.00%)
  • ADHI 2,800 5 (0.18%)
  • ADMF 5,925 25 (0.42%)
  • ADMG 129 -1 (-0.77%)
  • ADRO 885 5 (0.57%)
  • AGRO 97 0 (0.00%)
  • AGRS 129 4 (3.20%)
  • AISA 1,900 10 (0.53%)
  • AKRA 5,600 0 (0.00%)
  • ALDO 730 0 (0.00%)
  • ALMI 240 8 (3.45%)
  • ALTO 345 3 (0.88%)
  • AMAG 366 -9 (-2.40%)
  • AMFG 7,300 -75 (-1.02%)
  • AMRT 600 30 (5.26%)
  • ANTM 805 5 (0.62%)
  • APEX 3,325 0 (0.00%)
  • APIC 570 0 (0.00%)
  • APLI 78 2 (2.63%)
  • APLN 388 -9 (-2.27%)
  • ARNA 675 0 (0.00%) © 2010 IMQ - LKBN ANTARA
  • ARTA 228 -6 (-2.56%)
  • ASBI 475 10 (2.15%)
  • ASGR 2,210 -10 (-0.45%)
  • ASII 7,575 -250 (-3.19%)
  • ASMI 790 0 (0.00%)
  • ASMI-W 420 10 (2.44%)
  • ASRI 650 0 (0.00%)
  • ASRM 1,300 95 (7.88%)
  • ASSA 155 5 (3.33%)
  • ATPK 205 1 (0.49%)
  • AUTO 2,985 10 (0.34%)
  • BABP 90 -1 (-1.10%)
  • BABP-W 23 -1 (-4.17%)
  • BACA 208 0 (0.00%)
  • BACA-W 102 0 (0.00%)
  • BAJA 183 5 (2.81%)
  • BAPA 51 0 (0.00%)
  • BATA 1,065 0 (0.00%)
  • BAYU 1,045 70 (7.18%)
  • BBCA 14,350 225 (1.59%)
  • BBKP 725 5 (0.69%)
  • BBMD 1,600 0 (0.00%)
  • BBNI 7,075 75 (1.07%)
  • BBRI 12,600 -150 (-1.18%)
  • BBTN 1,220 0 (0.00%) © 2010 IMQ - LKBN ANTARA
  • BBYB 88 1 (1.15%)
  • BCAP 1,730 5 (0.29%)
  • BCIP 800 0 (0.00%)
  • BDMN 4,340 55 (1.28%)
  • BEKS 79 1 (1.28%)
  • BEST 515 -10 (-1.90%)
  • BFIN 2,700 0 (0.00%)
  • BHIT 257 -1 (-0.39%)
  • BIPI 86 1 (1.18%)
  • BIPP 96 8 (9.09%)
  • BIPP-W 22 7 (46.67%)
  • BIRD 8,900 600 (7.23%)
  • BISI 1,620 0 (0.00%)
  • BJBR 895 0 (0.00%)
  • BJTM 515 -10 (-1.90%)
  • BKDP 93 0 (0.00%)
  • BKSL 107 -1 (-0.93%)
  • BKSW 650 10 (1.56%)
  • BLTZ 3,050 0 (0.00%)
  • BMRI 11,425 -200 (-1.72%)
  • BMTR 1,340 0 (0.00%)
  • BNBA 159 1 (0.63%)
  • BNBR 50 0 (0.00%)
  • BNBR-W 1 0 (0.00%)
  • BNGA 715 10 (1.42%) © 2010 IMQ - LKBN ANTARA
  • BNII 197 0 (0.00%)
  • BORN 50 0 (0.00%)
  • BRMS 149 0 (0.00%)
  • BRNA 650 0 (0.00%)
  • BRPT 255 0 (0.00%)
  • BSDE 1,950 -30 (-1.52%)
  • BSIM 400 -5 (-1.23%)
  • BSIM-W 240 0 (0.00%)
  • BSSR 1,270 -70 (-5.22%)
  • BTEK 1,200 0 (0.00%)
  • BTON 535 35 (7.00%)
  • BTPN 3,900 0 (0.00%)
  • BUDI 92 -2 (-2.13%)
  • BULL 119 -1 (-0.83%)
  • BUMI 90 2 (2.27%)
  • BUVA 540 0 (0.00%)
  • BVIC 118 0 (0.00%)
  • BVIC-W3 22 0 (0.00%)
  • BWPT 303 0 (0.00%)
  • BYAN 7,875 0 (0.00%)
  • CASS 1,235 -5 (-0.40%)
  • CEKA 1,420 -55 (-3.73%)
  • CINT 389 1 (0.26%)
  • CKRA 236 18 (8.26%)
  • CLPI 635 -5 (-0.78%) © 2010 IMQ - LKBN ANTARA
  • CMNP 2,430 5 (0.21%)
  • CMPP 124 3 (2.48%)
  • CNKO 84 -1 (-1.18%)
  • CNTX 16,675 0 (0.00%)
  • COWL 585 -15 (-2.50%)
  • COWL-W 2 1 (100.00%)
  • CPGT 78 -5 (-6.02%)
  • CPIN 3,205 30 (0.94%)
  • CPRO 56 0 (0.00%)
  • CSAP 515 -10 (-1.90%)
  • CTRA 1,560 25 (1.63%)
  • CTRP 685 0 (0.00%)
  • CTRS 3,020 20 (0.67%)
  • CTTH 73 -1 (-1.35%)
  • DAJK 680 5 (0.74%)
  • DART 765 20 (2.68%)
  • DEWA 50 0 (0.00%)
  • DGIK 136 1 (0.74%)
  • DILD 670 10 (1.52%)
  • DNAR 154 9 (6.21%)
  • DNET 925 0 (0.00%)
  • DOID 87 -2 (-2.25%)
  • DPNS 425 0 (0.00%)
  • DSFI 138 -7 (-4.83%)
  • DSNG 4,270 20 (0.47%) © 2010 IMQ - LKBN ANTARA
  • DUTI 6,475 475 (7.92%)
  • DYAN 109 9 (9.00%)
  • EKAD 475 0 (0.00%)
  • ELSA 610 10 (1.67%)
  • ELTY 50 0 (0.00%)
  • EMDE 109 0 (0.00%)
  • ENRG 76 0 (0.00%)
  • ERAA 835 20 (2.45%)
  • ERTX 1,050 50 (5.00%)
  • ESSA 2,000 0 (0.00%)
  • ETWA 130 17 (15.04%)
  • EXCL 4,060 30 (0.74%)
  • FASW 1,500 0 (0.00%)
  • FREN 72 1 (1.41%)
  • FREN-W 40 10 (33.33%)
  • GDST 70 -2 (-2.78%)
  • GEMA 339 0 (0.00%)
  • GEMS 1,650 -100 (-5.71%)
  • GGRM 47,075 -175 (-0.37%)
  • GIAA 545 -5 (-0.91%)
  • GJTL 1,110 -5 (-0.45%)
  • GOLL 154 10 (6.94%)
  • GOLL-W 26 -1 (-3.70%)
  • GREN 152 -1 (-0.65%)
  • GWSA 151 3 (2.03%) © 2010 IMQ - LKBN ANTARA
  • GZCO 98 -1 (-1.01%)
  • HADE 50 0 (0.00%)
  • HERO 2,025 0 (0.00%)
  • HEXA 3,100 45 (1.47%)
  • HITS 705 0 (0.00%)
  • HMSP 72,450 -25 (-0.03%)
  • HOME 205 1 (0.49%)
  • HOTL 140 2 (1.45%)
  • HOTL-W 16 -5 (-23.81%)
  • HRUM 1,190 -5 (-0.42%)
  • IATA 68 0 (0.00%)
  • IBFN 304 3 (1.00%)
  • IBST 3,000 -485 (-13.92%)
  • ICBP 13,925 125 (0.91%)
  • IGAR 273 -4 (-1.44%)
  • IIKP 2,750 -175 (-5.98%)
  • IKBI 1,070 0 (0.00%)
  • IMPC 8,350 50 (0.60%)
  • INAF 262 0 (0.00%)
  • INCI 302 -5 (-1.63%)
  • INCO 3,460 0 (0.00%)
  • INDF 6,875 25 (0.36%)
  • INDR 825 -125 (-13.16%)
  • INDS 1,075 0 (0.00%)
  • INDX 495 0 (0.00%) © 2010 IMQ - LKBN ANTARA
  • INDY 429 5 (1.18%)
  • INKP 1,080 0 (0.00%)
  • INPC 78 0 (0.00%)
  • INTA 299 11 (3.82%)
  • INTP 22,425 -825 (-3.55%)
  • IPOL 89 0 (0.00%)
  • ISAT 3,815 -20 (-0.52%)
  • ISSP 205 2 (0.99%)
  • ITMG 14,800 0 (0.00%)
  • JAWA 341 0 (0.00%)
  • JIHD 825 -20 (-2.37%)
  • JKSW 80 -13 (-13.98%)
  • JPFA 625 5 (0.81%)
  • JPRS 209 0 (0.00%)
  • JRPT 990 10 (1.02%)
  • JSMR 6,575 175 (2.73%)
  • JTPE 279 0 (0.00%)
  • KAEF 1,130 -25 (-2.16%)
  • KARW 409 -6 (-1.45%)
  • KBLI 130 0 (0.00%)
  • KBLV 2,580 20 (0.78%)
  • KBRI 50 -1 (-1.96%)
  • KBRI-W 1 0 (0.00%)
  • KIAS 119 2 (1.71%)
  • KIJA 291 -1 (-0.34%) © 2010 IMQ - LKBN ANTARA
  • KKGI 900 -10 (-1.10%)
  • KLBF 1,840 10 (0.55%)
  • KOIN 319 0 (0.00%)
  • KOPI 860 -90 (-9.47%)
  • KPIG 1,285 0 (0.00%)
  • KRAH 1,440 -15 (-1.03%)
  • KRAS 450 0 (0.00%)
  • KREN 540 5 (0.93%)
  • LAMI 275 5 (1.85%)
  • LAPD 50 0 (0.00%)
  • LCGP 560 0 (0.00%)
  • LEAD 331 1 (0.30%)
  • LINK 5,550 250 (4.72%)
  • LMPI 138 1 (0.73%)
  • LPCK 11,250 150 (1.35%)
  • LPGI 5,825 700 (13.66%)
  • LPKR 1,350 10 (0.75%)
  • LPLI 600 10 (1.69%)
  • LPPF 17,550 50 (0.29%)
  • LPPS 216 -1 (-0.46%)
  • LRNA 139 -6 (-4.14%)
  • LRNA-W 30 0 (0.00%)
  • LSIP 1,670 30 (1.83%)
  • LTLS 755 -5 (-0.66%)
  • MAGP 50 0 (0.00%) © 2010 IMQ - LKBN ANTARA
  • MAGP-W 6 0 (0.00%)
  • MAIN 1,765 35 (2.02%)
  • MAPI 5,550 -25 (-0.45%)
  • MASA 300 -10 (-3.23%)
  • MAYA 1,550 -25 (-1.59%)
  • MBAP 1,275 5 (0.39%)
  • MBSS 830 5 (0.61%)
  • MBTO 150 1 (0.67%)
  • MCOR 268 3 (1.13%)
  • MCOR-W 71 11 (18.33%)
  • MDLN 580 5 (0.87%)
  • MDRN 401 -44 (-9.89%)
  • MEDC 3,060 -90 (-2.86%)
  • MEGA 2,000 -100 (-4.76%)
  • META 178 -5 (-2.73%)
  • META-W 157 12 (8.28%)
  • MFIN 960 0 (0.00%)
  • MFMI 270 -10 (-3.57%)
  • MGNA-W 38 0 (0.00%)
  • MICE 319 0 (0.00%)
  • MIDI 735 -65 (-8.12%)
  • MIKA 26,850 2,100 (8.48%)
  • MIRA 50 0 (0.00%)
  • MLBI 7,300 -25 (-0.34%)
  • MLPL 745 15 (2.05%) © 2010 IMQ - LKBN ANTARA
  • MLPT 1,020 0 (0.00%)
  • MNCN 2,145 -45 (-2.05%)
  • MPMX 750 55 (7.91%)
  • MPPA 3,780 -25 (-0.66%)
  • MRAT 267 -1 (-0.37%)
  • MREI 2,800 -310 (-9.97%)
  • MSKY 1,530 -20 (-1.29%)
  • MTDL 710 5 (0.71%)
  • MTFN 98 -6 (-5.77%)
  • MTLA 415 0 (0.00%)
  • MYOH 530 -5 (-0.93%)
  • MYOR 26,375 0 (0.00%)
  • MYRX 735 -5 (-0.68%)
  • MYRXP 57 2 (3.64%)
  • MYTX 90 -22 (-19.64%)
  • NIKL 102 0 (0.00%)
  • NIPS 600 -5 (-0.83%)
  • NIRO 219 -2 (-0.90%)
  • NISP 1,300 0 (0.00%)
  • NOBU 775 5 (0.65%)
  • NRCA 1,070 -10 (-0.93%)
  • NRCA-W 197 7 (3.68%)
  • OKAS 95 0 (0.00%)
  • PADI 625 10 (1.63%)
  • PALM 595 25 (4.39%) © 2010 IMQ - LKBN ANTARA
  • PANR 535 5 (0.94%)
  • PANS 4,980 -20 (-0.40%)
  • PBRX 515 0 (0.00%)
  • PGAS 4,200 0 (0.00%)
  • PGLI 68 0 (0.00%)
  • PICO 142 4 (2.90%)
  • PKPK 64 1 (1.59%)
  • PLAS 1,625 -5 (-0.31%)
  • PNBN 1,190 -45 (-3.64%)
  • PNBS 278 0 (0.00%)
  • PNBS-W 161 0 (0.00%)
  • PNIN 805 0 (0.00%)
  • PNLF 310 -4 (-1.27%)
  • PNSE 468 0 (0.00%)
  • POLY 61 -3 (-4.69%)
  • PPRO 203 -1 (-0.49%)
  • PRAS 181 1 (0.56%)
  • PSAB 700 -15 (-2.10%)
  • PSDN 122 10 (8.93%)
  • PSKT 910 0 (0.00%)
  • PTBA 10,550 -275 (-2.54%)
  • PTPP 4,075 45 (1.12%)
  • PTRO 680 -10 (-1.45%)
  • PTSN 84 -3 (-3.45%)
  • PWON 471 0 (0.00%) © 2010 IMQ - LKBN ANTARA
  • PYFA 127 -4 (-3.05%)
  • RAJA 1,260 5 (0.40%)
  • RALS 765 -10 (-1.29%)
  • RBMS 86 0 (0.00%)
  • RELI 475 0 (0.00%)
  • RICY 168 -1 (-0.59%)
  • RIGS 217 17 (8.50%)
  • RMBA 570 5 (0.88%)
  • ROTI 1,245 5 (0.40%)
  • RUIS 223 3 (1.36%)
  • SAME 2,830 20 (0.71%)
  • SCCO 3,850 50 (1.32%)
  • SCMA 3,025 -40 (-1.31%)
  • SDPC 83 -1 (-1.19%)
  • SGRO 1,815 5 (0.28%)
  • SHID 399 -1 (-0.25%)
  • SIAP 243 9 (3.85%)
  • SIDO 580 10 (1.75%)
  • SILO 15,000 -125 (-0.83%)
  • SIMA 120 0 (0.00%)
  • SIMP 675 10 (1.50%)
  • SIPD 750 10 (1.35%)
  • SKBM 900 0 (0.00%)
  • SMBR 362 33 (10.03%)
  • SMCB 1,625 -5 (-0.31%) © 2010 IMQ - LKBN ANTARA
  • SMDM 133 -2 (-1.48%)
  • SMDR 9,050 -100 (-1.09%)
  • SMGR 13,125 -75 (-0.57%)
  • SMMT 1,990 0 (0.00%)
  • SMRA 1,920 0 (0.00%)
  • SMRU 347 0 (0.00%)
  • SMSM 4,690 -15 (-0.32%)
  • SOCI 565 5 (0.89%)
  • SPMA 188 2 (1.08%)
  • SQBI 305,000 0 (0.00%)
  • SRAJ 220 0 (0.00%)
  • SRIL 336 2 (0.60%)
  • SRTG 4,495 235 (5.52%)
  • SSIA 1,180 35 (3.06%)
  • SSMS 2,380 0 (0.00%)
  • SSTM 79 2 (2.60%)
  • STAR 57 6 (11.76%)
  • SUGI 394 1 (0.25%)
  • SULI 64 3 (4.92%)
  • TALF 400 -10 (-2.44%)
  • TARA 482 0 (0.00%)
  • TAXI 1,070 0 (0.00%)
  • TBIG 9,000 -300 (-3.23%)
  • TBLA 580 -10 (-1.69%)
  • TELE 970 10 (1.04%) © 2010 IMQ - LKBN ANTARA
  • TIFA 205 7 (3.54%)
  • TINS 885 -25 (-2.75%)
  • TIRT 70 2 (2.94%)
  • TKIM 780 -5 (-0.64%)
  • TKIM-W 149 24 (19.20%)
  • TLKM 2,870 20 (0.70%)
  • TMAS 1,915 15 (0.79%)
  • TMPI 451 1 (0.22%)
  • TMPI-W 2 1 (100.00%)
  • TMPO 112 6 (5.66%)
  • TOBA 840 10 (1.20%)
  • TOTL 935 20 (2.19%)
  • TOTO 3,900 -25 (-0.64%)
  • TOWR 3,980 0 (0.00%)
  • TPIA 3,500 0 (0.00%)
  • TPMA 294 -41 (-12.24%)
  • TRAM 53 1 (1.92%)
  • TRIL 50 0 (0.00%)
  • TRIM 61 -2 (-3.17%)
  • TRIO 1,885 -5 (-0.26%)
  • TRIS 355 0 (0.00%)
  • TRIS-W 60 16 (36.36%)
  • TSPC 2,040 -10 (-0.49%)
  • TURI 710 -5 (-0.70%)
  • ULTJ 3,865 -130 (-3.25%) © 2010 IMQ - LKBN ANTARA
  • UNIT 291 -23 (-7.32%)
  • UNSP 50 0 (0.00%)
  • UNTR 23,275 575 (2.53%)
  • UNVR 43,775 925 (2.16%)
  • VICO 106 -11 (-9.40%)
  • VICO-W 12 2 (20.00%)
  • VIVA 422 5 (1.20%)
  • VRNA 170 5 (3.03%)
  • WEHA 230 -1 (-0.43%)
  • WICO 69 1 (1.47%)
  • WIIM 487 4 (0.83%)
  • WIKA 3,350 10 (0.30%)
  • WINS 445 10 (2.30%)
  • WOMF 105 7 (7.14%)
  • WSKT 1,765 30 (1.73%)
  • WTON 1,205 35 (2.99%)
  • XCID 100 1 (1.01%)
  • XIIC 995 6 (0.61%)
  • XIJI 721 -14 (-1.90%)
  • ZBRA 192 1 (0.52%)
BBM Bersubsidi Naik, Pasar Modal Slow Down Sejenak
Published: 28 Mar 2012 14:50 WIB


IMQ, Jakarta —  Rencana pemerintah untuk menaikkan harga BBM eceran bersubsidi pada awal April 2012 akan direspon dengan “guncangan kecil” di pasar modal.

Para pelaku dan analis pasar modal menilai kebijakan kenaikan harga BBM tersebut dinilai rasional dan dapat dipahami pelaku bisnis. Secara umum, pergerakan IHSG juga sudah berdapatasi dengan kebijakan fiskal tersebut sehingga harga-harga ekuitas juga dianggap “priced in” dengan dampak inflasi yang akan ditimbulkan.

Besaran kenaikan harga BBM sebesar Rp1.500 atau sekitar 33,33% tersebut dinilai cukup wajar dan rasional serta sesuai dengan ekspektasi pasar. Dengan kenaikan sebesar itu, pasar menilai para emiten hanya tertekan kinerjanya karena inflasi dalam periode relatif singkat.

Kenaikan BBM sebesar Rp1.500 tersebut diprediksi mendorong inflasi sekitar 1,3-1,5% pada Maret, karena harga kebutuhan pokok sudah merangkak naik sekalipun faktanya kenaikan BBM masih diperdebatkan di DPR. Dorongan inflasi masih akan terjadi hingga April-Mei. Pemerintah sendiri menargetkan inflasi year-on-year hingga akhir tahun sebesar 5,4% plus minus 1%.

Akibat kenaikan inflasi akan mendorong otoritas moneter BI untuk mengubah BI rate di atas 5,75%. Jika ini terjadi tentu akan menekan kinerja emiten saham dan akan membuat pasar merespons negatif. Perbankan akan cenderung meningkatkan cost of debt kepada emiten sehingga akan menekan net profit-nya sehingga EPS turun.

Di sisi lain, emiten yang memiliki obligasi dengan floating rate juga akan terkena dampaknya. Jadi kestabilan pasar modal 2012 akan lebih ditentukan oleh kebijakan moneter BI.

Kenaikan inflasi tersebut dinilai tidak berdampak signifikan terhadap kinerja ekonomi nasional yang cukup solid terutama karena permintaan domestik dan ekspor komoditas RI relatif stabil dan cukup kuat.

Selain itu, prospek pertumbuhan infrastruktur pada 2012 juga akan menopang pertumbuhan ekonomi nasional. Jadi secara umum, guncangan kenaikan BBM tersebut dapat diredam oleh indikator-indikator makro yang kuat.

Namun jika kenaikan di atas Rp1.500, tampaknya ada resistensi yang kuat dari pasar karena akan menimbulkan tekanan fundamental emiten BEI. Beberapa sektor yang akan berpotensi tertekan untuk sementara saja, seperti sektor konsumer, automotif, properti dan jasa keuangan.

Hal yang lebih mencemaskan pelaku pasar justru jika kenaikan BBM tertunda atau bahkan dibatalkan sama sekali karena akan menimbulkan risiko fiskal yang lebih besar ketimbang BBM dinaikkan. Pasar menilai defisit fiskal yang akan terjadi lebih berisiko dan merugikan perekonomian nasional.

Sejalan dengan analisis tersebut, para investor asing pun cenderung mendukung kenaikan BBM dengan besaran tersebut dari pada mengambil risiko defisit fiskal di atas 3-4%.

Saat ini, ekonomi global sudah menunjukkan pemulihan di jalur positif terutama AS (The Fed) yang berhasil melakukan kebijakan moneter untuk penciptaan lapangan kerja mulai menunjukkan hasil. Meskipun UE masih terbelit masalah imbalances fiskal, namun beberapa upaya Bank Sentral Eropa dan IMF mulai menunjukkan hasil positif. Kondisi global ke depan diprediksi akan memberikan tenaga tambahan bagi IHSG hingga 4.600 di akhir tahun.
Author: Perdana Wahyu Sentosa
-
POPULAR NEWS