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Thursday, Apr-24 2014 23:27 WIB
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Rencana Kenaikan BBM Subsidi Tekan Indeks
Published: 24 Feb 2012 07:49 WIB


istimewa
IMQ, Jakarta —  Sentimen negatif dari rencana pemerintah menaikkan harga BBM bersubsidi sehubungan dengan terus merambat naiknya harga minyak mentah dunia akan membuat Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) pada perdagangan Jumat (24/2) diprediksi bergerak fluktuatif dengan kecenderungan melemah.

Research Analyst PT Panin Sekuritas Tbk Purwoko Sartono mengatakan rencana kenaikan BBM subsidi ini bisa dilihat dari peryataaan Gubernur BI yang mengatakan jika harga BBM bersubsidi dinaikkan lebih dari Rp1.000 per liter, angka inflasi tahun ini akan melampaui proyeksi BI yang sebesar 5,5%.

“Selain dari rencana naiknya harga BBM, pelemahan indeks juga dipengaruhi oleh melemahnya data makroekonomi Eropa,” ujarnya di Jakarta, Jumat (24/2).

Menurut Purwoko, pada perdagangan hari ini indeks akan bergerak pada kisaran support-resistance 3.928-3.981.

“Kami melihat saham sektor konsumsi, semen, dan konstruksi masih cukup menarik untuk trading jangka pendek,” ulasnya.

Untuk saham-saham yang layak dikoleksi antara lain PT Gudang Garam Tbk (GGRM), PT Semen Gresik , dan PT PP Tbk (PTPP).

Sementara Kepala Riset MNC Securities Edwin Sebayang mengatakan meskipun perdagangan semalam indeks Dow Jones mengalami kenaikan 46,02 poin, namun diperkirakan IHSG justru akan melanjutkan pelemahannya dengan kisaran 3.928-3.988.

“Hal ini didorong naiknya harga minyak dunia yang berada di atas US$108,08 per barel dan itu akan terus berpotensi naik menuju US$120 per barel jika Iran memperluas jumlah negara Eropa yang dihentikan pasokan minyaknya serta akibat relaksasi kebijakan moneter China,” ulasnya.

Faktor lain yang akan menjatuhkan IHSG, lanjutnya, adalah rencana kenaikan BBM subsidi. Faktor inilah yang menjadi faktor penting domestik yang akan terus menggelayuti pergerakan IHSG ke depannya sampai kebijakan tersebut diterapkan pada waktunya nanti.

“Akibatnya, ke depan tidak mengherankan saham yang berkaitan dengan minyak akan menjadi sasaran empuk kejatuhan, seperti saham berbasis transportasi, otomotif, perbankan, karet sintetis dan kimia berbasis minyak,l” ulasnya.
Author: Irwen Azhari
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