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Menguji Kehandalan PGAS
Published: 19 Mar 2015 04:42 WIB


IMQ, Jakarta —  PT Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk (PGN) sedang terus menambah infrastrukstur
gas di Indonesia. Bagaimana prospek sahamnya?

Salah satu proyek PGAS adalah pembangunan pipa Transmisi Gas Bumi Kalija I (Kepodang – Tambak Lorok). Pembangunan Kalija I merupakan tahap awal dari pembangunan ruas pipa transmisi gas bumi Bontang, Kalimantan Timur– Semarang, Jawa Tengah (atau yang dikenal sebagai Kalija).

PGAS juga sedang dalam proyek pembangunan pipa gas dari Madura ke Jawa Timur untuk menghubungkan sumber gas dari Santos di Madura ke pelanggan gas PGAS di Jawa Timur.

Managing Partner PT Investa Saran Mandiri Kiswoyo Adi Joe memperkirakan dividen PGAS tahun ini kami naik karena adanya kenaikan kurs dolar AS terhadap Rupiah. Dengan laporan keuangan PGAS dalam dolar AS, maka menguatnya Dolar AS akan menaikan deviden
yang akan diterima para investor.

Pendapatan PGAS 2015, Investa prediksi akan naik sekitar 12,80% dibandingkan 2014. Sedangkan untuk EPS nya kami prediksi tetap karena masih sulitnya mendapatkan pasokan gas untuk PGAS di 2015 ini.

Harga jual gas milik PGAS masih jauh lebih murah daripada harga jual gas Elpiji punya Pertamina. Sehingga gas milik PGAS juga banyak diminati oleh kalangan rumah tangga. Hanya saja tidak bisa menjangkau semua kalangan tergantung pada lokasi dimana pipa milik PGAS berada.

Memang gas milik PGAS jauh lebih aman daripada Elpiji karena jika terjadi kebocoran maka gas milik PGAS akan turun ke tanah sehingga kecil kemungkinannya untuk meledak. Tetapi kelemahannya butuh waktu lebih lama untuk mencapai panas level tertentu yang dibutuhkan untuk memasak seperti memasak air.

Pada proyeksi riset kami kali ini proyeksi EPS growth PGAS hanya 7%. Pertumbuhan rata rata EPS selama 5 tahun terakhir sekitar 10%.

"Kami memprediksi PE tertinggi PGAS tahun ini ada di level 18, dengan pertimbangan pertumbuhan EPS-nya di tahun ini tidak lebih dari 7%," tuturnya.

Pada level harga saham PGAS saat ini di level 5.800, ia memberikan rekomendasi beli, dengan harga wajar PGAS untuk 12 bulan ke depan Investa melihatnya ada pada level 7.200.

"Kami merekomendasikan beli dengan diskon 20% dari harga wajar PGAS, sehingga ketika harga berada di bawah level 5.800 menjadi level aman untuk dibeli," paparnya.
Author: Susan Silaban
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